And not just because a small German boy can outwit NASA. But because in 2029 we're all going to diiiiiieeee. And if not in 2029, in 2036 we're all going to diiiiieeee.
Alternatively, we have a 449 chance of all surviving. But it is slightly worrying that NASA cannot really carry out their calculations to the same level as a 13 year old boy. Potentially, telling us all we have a one in 450 chance of being hit by an asteroid is less comforting than telling us that we have a one in 45, 000 chance of being hit. Perhaps NASA were just trying to ease our worried little minds.
Either way, NASA's foolishness worries me slightly. Scenario a. - NASA can't do their sums to the level of a 13 year old. Scenario b. - NASA think they can keep a 44, 550 discrepancy in our chances of being hit by an asteroid quiet from us for 21 years.
Hmmm.
2 comments:
Could be worse. If you, say, lived in California:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2008-04-14-california-earthquake-study_N.htm?csp=34
Hmmm... So if you get to 2029 without the earthquake hitting and without getting hit by an asteroid and then make it to 2036 without the asteroid hitting, you still can't breath a sigh of relief until 2038.
So what are the chances of none of those three things happening? Eh, little German boy, eh?
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